Picture: Charles Dickens silenced the critics in the L’Ormarins King’s Plate (Image: Wayne Marks)
Respected analyst Karel Miedema gave Charles Dickens a 114 Ability Rating for his LKP victory on his raceform.co.za website, but he pointed out that the day’s racing had been difficult to assess due to some confusing sectional times.
He said as a word of caution, “The 1200m Ladies race (72.48s) went faster than the 1200m Sceptre Stakes (72.93s).
Sectional timing seems to show that the Ladies race went fast early and slow late, with the Sceptre Stakes the opposite.
There was one other 1200m race (race 8) which might have helped to see what was possible, but that race has no time taken…
The 1000m Winchester Sprint Cup (56.63s) went almost 2 seconds faster than the 1000m 2yo race (58.56).
The time in the Sprint Cup (close to Course Record) seems to suggest that the track and/or wind conditions made for extremely fast going.
Or maybe the 2yo’s are not that good.
There was no other 1000m race on the day and the three 1200m races were odd (as outlined above), so can’t be compared.
The general consensus seemed to be that the 1800m Paddock Stakes (113.16) was run at a slow pace early on.
The 1800m Premiers Cup (113.09) ended up only a fraction faster, suggesting that the pace for that race also may not have been real.
Perhaps the results of these races should not be taken on face value.
It was a pity that there wasn’t another 1600m race apart from the King’s Plate, to give perspective.“
Miedema’s 114 AR for Charles Dickens can be compared to the career high of 117 he gave him for his Gr 1 wfa Hollywoodbets Gold Challenge victory as well as to the 115 he gave him for his narrow second in last year’s King’s Plate and the 110 he gave him for his easy Gr 1 Hollywoodbets Cape Guineas win.
Miedema gave See It Again 114 for his Gr 2 WSB Greeen Point Stakes win, so must have felt he had performed below par as runner up in the LKP on Saturday, awarding him a 108.