The Eric Sands-trained Master Of My Fate filly Busy Lizzie runs in the 8th race today, her first race out of the maidens (Wayne Marks).
Cape Racing (Mark van Deventer)
Blue Holly is improving rapidly now and appeals as the best bet on Tuesday’s card at Hollywoodbets Kenilworth. Glen Kotzen’s Gimmethegreenlight filly may have been outrun at her second start by The Charleston, but that was in a smart time for juveniles, and she was miles ahead of the other placed horses.
Ace jock, Keagan de Melo now takes control of the steering, and they are selected to open the P6 in Race 3. There are five unraced babies in the 15-runner field, so a market watch is advised. The speedy, Savic (finished next to Blue Holly on debut), Oni San, Siddeley and Strata have shown enough early promise to be involved in the shake-up, yet that fine second try by Blue Holly is clearly the best form of those with experience.
Making accurate “short selections” is always useful when constructing horizontal wagers – it helps to contain costs and enables bettors to spread in more difficult legs where wider cover is needed.
Race 4 presents just such an opportunity as using Kebonalesedi and Hawk Circle could be sufficient to get through Leg 2 of the P6, a 13 runner Maiden Plate.
Kebonalesedi made dramatic improvement at his second outing (as horses are apt to do) – statistically that’s when thoroughbreds make the most one-start-to-the-next progress. The Glen Puller trained half-brother to big-earning, Illuminator, chased home heavily punted, Noble City, in the process edging out subsequent easy winner, Rosh Kedesh so the form has a nice shape to it.
Hawk Circle has already run good enough numbers to shed a Maiden tag – his penultimate behind Holy Orders when kicking on swiftly catches the eye. Assuming Justin Snaith has him cranked up after a nine-week break, (blinkers go on – a positive sign) then this well-bred son of Silvano should go well, even if 1200m is possibly on the short side.
Mighty Mac (eligible to wake up making that key 2nd start) and well-exposed older filly Simply Beautiful might be added by wary bettors going four- deep. But with tricky Maiden Special Weight races and difficult Handicaps filling the rest of the P6 sequence, sneaking cheaply through a 1 x 2 start would be neat.
