Picture: Sugar Mountain gives jockey Devin Ashby the second leg of a treble at Kenilworth on Saturday (Wayne Marks).
Sugar Mountain Is One To Follow
Picture: Rachel Venniker about to clinch a treble at Turffontein Inside today aboard the Paul Peter-trained Flame Flower (JC Photos).
Venniker Bursts Into The Championship Picture
Rachel Venniker took full advantage of her 1,5kg female allowance at Turffontein Inside today and rode a treble.
Kennedy 90% Certain Of Emigration To New Zealand
Picture: Royal Aclaim: a course-and-distance winner having landed the City Walls Stakes John Grossick (racingpost.com/photos)
‘He’s Been Smashed Up’ – Bookmakers Reveal Their Ebor Festival Fears
York’s four-day Ebor festival is a huge meeting for punters
Picture: The Glen Kotzen-trained Famous And Rich has been one of the first three-year-olds this season to win a handicap against older horses and he was raised from an 84 to an 88 merit rating.
Stats Show Young 3yos To Not Be Overrated As Is Popularly Claimed
NHA Sophomore Crop Review 2021/22
(How did 3yos perform against older horses in handicaps?)
These Stats flow from the Press Release of 1 October 2021
The Handicappers have reviewed the handicap performances of the three-year-old crop after the last Southern Hemisphere season ending 31 July 2022. This review is done regularly to ensure that a balance between crops is maintained and that handicaps remain competitive.
The chart below displays the number of starters in benchmark handicaps for the 2021/22 season and is divided into three-year-old starters in yellow and four-year-old and older starters in blue. Participation by three-year-old’s steadily increases through the course of the season with the smallest number of three-year-old starters during the first quarter of the season.
The chart below shows the three-year-old win strike-rate in Green, and the four year and older crop win strike rate in blue. The strike rate is calculated by dividing wins for each group by the number of starters of each group and converting to percentages. But for two months in the 2021/22 season, November and March) the three-year-old crop outperformed their older competitors in every month of the season. As three-year-olds are likely more progressive than their older peers in handicaps, this higher overall strike rate is not abnormal.
The tables below break down the strike rate by month in season, by age group. The average net merit ratings (Ave NMR) columns indicate that the three-year-old’s average net merit rating increases marginally through the course of the season. Despite this, in the months of November 2021 and March 2022 does the four year and older group outperform the three-year-old crop. The dip in strike rate for the three-year-old crop in November and March is likely due to the better three-year-olds contesting the opening November Classic and Highveld March Classic races in those months, and due to the leading Western Cape sophomores likely breaking before the KZN Winter Season. The mostly-consistent outperformance of the three-year-old crop throughout the season is in part due to the constant adjustment of sophomore ratings as they disclose more of their ability through the season in benchmark handicaps.
Snapshot of the last three seasons, i.e. from August 2019 to July 2022.
Current season rating bands as of 1 August 2022 (gross ratings):
Please contact the Senior Handicapper Mr Lennon Maharaj at email@example.com for any queries.
Met Winner Smart Call To Foal Down Soon At Mauritzfontein
Above: Mauritzfontein Stud’s Met winner and international performer Smart Call, heavily in foal to Gimmethegreenlight – she is due to foal in the next few days. This will be her fourth foal and her second from Gimmethgreenlight. (Picture: John Lewis).
Picture: Mirren (seen winning today under Piere Strydom) secured another fine training feat for the Botes and Vosloo yard as they have had him for just two runs for a second and a win.
Striker Five Wins Away From Retirement
Piere Strydom had a typically perfectly-judged come-from-behind win today on the Barend Botes and Yolandi Vosloo-trained Mirren (Mambo In Seattle) and is now just five away from the magical 5500 career winners.
It is a magical number because he has stated he will retire upon reaching that figure.
He has now ridden six winners since returning to the saddle on June 26.
He has ridden the six at a strike rate of 12.77%.
Fans will now be trying to predict which meeting he will be bowing out at because many would like to be there to bid the legendary rider farewell.
Or perhaps somebody could sponsor a “farewell tour” where he visits each track after reaching the 5500 for hopefully one last victory at each venue and a chance for the respective local fans to say goodbye?
This year’s Equus Horse Of The Year Award is too close to call.
What was the previous closest contest this century between two stand out candidates?
Picture: A clue to the answer.
Hollywoodbets Greyville Poly Wednesday Fields
Today’s Question Answer
In 2005/2006 the Equus Award judging panel decided the Horse Of The Year Award was too close to call and gave a joint award to the two superstar greys, the Mike de Kock-trained Ilha da Vitoria (BRZ) (Candy Stripes) and the Sean Tarry-trained National Colour (National Assembly).
Picture: National Colour seen working on the July course at Newmarket where she finished a close second in the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes over five furlongs in 2008.