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Racing guru Jay August provides these thought provoking analyses of the Grade 1 Daily News 2000 and the Grade 1 Woolavington 2000.
Daily News 2000:
This race is almost always won by a horse that has won previously at Graded 1 or 2 level.
If Pomp and Power handles the right handed turn better than he did in the Guineas he should win.
It is likely from pole position that he will make the pace or tuck in behind a slow pacemaker, neither of which are ideal, but I make him 2-3lbs better than his opposition and he should have no trouble winning here if he does not defeat himself by over racing.
Red Saxon, if he turns up and stays the 2000m, is probably the main danger, while Safe Passage is likely to need this run.
If none of these three wins then the likely upset is Aragosta, but he’d need a lot to go wrong elsewhere, and right for him, to win here.
Senso Unico would need to live up to his connections expectations to have any chance at winning and it is difficult envisaging a 10lb improvement from him.
Waterberry Lane looks a 1400-1600m type and while classy at that distance he’d need to bring that form to 2000m to have any chance at winning.
Woolavington 2000:
The addition of Light Of The Moon, and the exit of Rain In Holland, makes this an interesting race although not a Grade 1 affair.
It is quite a poor Grade 1 for this late in the season – only two of the field have managed a Listed win previously.
Light Of The Moon stays all of the 2000m, has a high cruising speed, and she is likely to not only make the pace but test the ability of her competitors to stay a true run 2000m. At current odds of 7/1 she offers the best value in this race.
Of the others any one of Perfect Witness, Sprinkles, Silver Darling, Bye Bye Bombshell and Marigold Hotel could win if Light Of The Moon fails.
Picture: Light Of The Moon (left) provides Drakenstein Stud with one of two chances to win another classic in Saturday’s Woolavington 2000 – Race favourite Silver Darling is also a Drakenstein homebred.