THERE are 13 tough races on Sun Met Day and most punters are going to maximise their enjoyment by taking an interest in races throughout the day.
We have compiled some race-specific notes, along with comments from trainers and jockeys, that will hopefully assist you in making the best choices possible – not a tipping guide, just something to help as you make your own final selections.
Remember the old basics – get yourself familiar with the final track conditions, scratchings and changes and follow your own head and “gut feel”. Concentrate on your strengths – play the best you are consistently successful with.
Race 1: MR84 Handicap, 1400m
Four-year-old Trippi’s Girl, with good form to double feature winner Miss Katalin and recent Graded winner Bishop’s Bounty looks fair value at 5-1. Miyabi Gold has a galloping weight and is probably better than her rating this early in her career. More to come from her.
Race 2: Summer Juvenile Stakes, 1000m
Cash Call is 3kg better off with Twist Of Fate and should turn the tables. At 11-2 he may be worth a bet. The likely favourite Carlita started slow in her first start – will have to get away on terms to beat this lot. Sean Tarry reckons Royal Italian is a decent sort.
Race 3: Kuda Sprint, 1200m
The word is out on newcomer Quick Star as a speedy colt with ability – he has been priced up favourite at 33-10. Best value lies with Cirillo, another Pomodoro colt held in some regard by Sean Tarry. He’s around 6-1 after a good debut, watch.
Race 4: CTS Sprint, 1200m
Candice Bass-Robinson: “That run in the Diadem was not Dutch Philip’s best but if he brings his work to the track, he’ll be right there. Magical Wonderland’s Sceptre Stakes win was very impressive. She has a good turn of foot and this race was won by a three-year-old filly last year, so there’s no reason she can’t beat the colts.
Anthony Delpech: “Joey Soma thinks a lot of Lobo’s Legend but it’s a competitive race worth a lot of money. It’s so hard to assess how the Joburg form will go against the Cape form. Anyway, sometimes it’s those hard-knocking horses who win these races.
Joe Ramsden gives Speedpoint a winning chance which brings Justin Snaith smart Kasimir into the race with a big chance at 7s. Perhaps your best Quartet floating banker.
Race 5: The CTS 1600
Justin Snaith: “Cot Campbell is one of my best on the day – I’m hoping to have a particularly good day. This has been his mission. He gets the 1600m and is doing well at home.” The last time Robbie Sage raided Cape Town he won the Gr1 Guineas. Pay respect to Vaquero, who brings Gr2 Dingaans form into the race and you can’t get hurt at 8-1.
Race 6: Cape Flying Championship, 1000m
The formidable Trip to Heaven ran a close third to Carry On Alice in this race last year. He can’t win over 1000m they say. Until he does! Brett Crawford is putting blinkers on Search Party and fancies him, consider.
Justin Snaith: “Jo’s Bond is a crazy price with the bookmakers. She needed her last couple of races – and 1200m was too far – but is primed and ready for this. She’s the best value of any in the Grade 1 races. Sergeant Hardy has breathing issues, so don’t worry about his races being only two weeks apart. He’s doing well and is one of the best sprinters around from an inside draw. I give him a big chance.”
Mathew de Kock: “Naafer is probably a 1200m specialist but does have a lot of early toe. He is a good horse and I think he’s better than Alfolk but whether he is better over 1000m is uncertain. I don’t think this is the strongest rendition of the race and I rate him with a big chance.
Race 7: Investec Cape Derby, 2000m
Tap O’Noth is one of the stars of his generation but both White River and Like A Panther were running hard at him in the closing stages of the Gr1 Guineas and both have a chance of toppling him over 2000m. Brett Crawford made White River his value bet of the day – 7-2 is a fair price, perhaps the 6-1 about Like A Panther even better. Do It Again packs plenty of ability, the dark horse of the race.
Race 8: Klawervlei Majorca Stakes, 1600m
It’s in our our for most of us with Snowdance – she’s s star and if she’s beaten we’ll have to take it on the chin. For once, we won’t try to beat the favourite. Perhaps the 25-1 shot Rose In Bloom is worth a place wager on her runs to Magical Wonderland.
Justin Snaith: “Snowdance is a top filly and very well. Her workout on Tuesday was good and I’m expecting a nice run from her. Everything’s gone to plan.”
Race 9: Sun Met, 2000m
How much more can we add to what has been said? Like last year it’s probably a case of what beats Legal Eagle wins the race – and he’s even better in at WFA terms this year. One or two unknown factors, biggest of all is whether the filly Oh Susanna will be up to the task against the big boys. She’s out at weigh-for-age, but is still getting an 8.5kg chunk of weight. She’s on the upgrade and she’s by Street Cry, one of the world’s greatest producers of fillies. If this tickles you, have a go!
Justin Snaith: “Oh Susanna is doing very well at home. She’s got 51.5kg on her back, a good draw, Grant van Niekerk and the conditions give her a chance. It’s a breath of fresh air to see a filly of this calibre in the race. I won’t be surprised to see her pop up.”
Sean Tarry: “I’m very happy with Legal Eagle. Everything’s gone well. He seems a bit more solid this year than last year, more battle hardy. We haven’t had the soundness issues – not that there were any big issues – but he’s a tougher horse this year. It is interesting to note that only he and Marinaresco have won at Grade 1 level over 2000m and further and I don’t think the distance stands against us in any way. We’ll probably be dropping him out, although I’m leaving the tactics to Anton Marcus.”
Race 10: Cape Stayers, 2800m
Strange kind of race with confidence from the Fortissima camp, though one gets the impression there could be a smash here.
Anthony Delpech: “Fortissima is a very good stayer but off a fast pace, and that is not always the case at the Cape. I do expect her to run well, though.”
Richard Fourie is on decent stayer Let It Rain, but he’s tipped Olivander. Open race, go easy.
Race 11: MR80 Handicap, 1400m
You’ve got to fancy Milden Spell on his recent runs to highly regarded Talk Of The Town. He is well weighted right stable, right jock.
Race 12: MR86 Handicap, 1200m
The beautiful six-year-old Master’s Spirit is a notch down in class, said to be in good shape and perhaps worth an eachway bet at 7s. Tipster Darryl Maree is big on Valbonne.
Race 13: MR80 Handicap, 1200m.
Lots of talk for Township Melody, but in an open race your get-out stakes probably rests with the lightly-raced Make It Raine. Joey Ramsden on record liking Still I Rise for a big run.
-From Turf Talk Newsletter.
Headline Photo: Snowdance, where life begins or ends!