WHILE the handicapper has been kind to eLan Gold Cup favourite It’s My Turn – dropping him two points after back-to-back feature wins – there are a few rivals that look talented enough to challenge him in the 3200m on Super Saturday at Greyville today.
Anton Marcus’ mount looks ideally placed to complete a hat-trick of wins, but this is a test of stamina that is often contested all the way the line and there are a number with fighting chances.
The first, interestingly, is Dean Kannemeyer’s other runner One Man Show, a five-time winner from 19 starts who stayed on solidly for fifth behind It’s My Turn in the Gold Vase on July Day. He is 0,5kg worse off for that – how, we wonder? – but has given an indication that he is an improving sort with a possible liking for these kind of marathons.
One Man Show has been sparingly raced into the Gold Cup, a race Kannemeyer has won a few times, and if one assumes that he’s come on at least a couple of lengths from his Gold Vase run, he’ll be a serious contender this afternoon.
Justin Snaith’s One Direction is better off with both It’s My Turn and One Man Show on the Vase form, but that he’s only won 2 of 21 starts casts a doubt over his class.
There are no class worries about Snaith’s other contenders Made To Conquer and Strathdon. The former has the kind of laid-back demeanour suited to this race and Piere Strydom’s services to boot – if the Durban July form proves to be superior he will probably win the Gold Cup as he likes.
That said, Strathdon is a full 3,5kg better off with Made To Conquer for a beating of a neck in the Lonsdale over 2400m and while Made To Conquer won with a bit in hand that day, 3,5kg is a significant additional burden with the drag effect over the extra 800m.
Hermoso Mundo is another who has been pointed at this race. He’s an out-and-out-stayer proven in good company – often the only attributes a horse needs to win this – and he warrants inclusion too.
One more to consider from the July formline is Dark Moon Rising, a talented campaigner bred to see it out and with the class to play a role here.
For value, as always, we’ll stay with 25-1 chance One Man Show.
Photo: One Man Show, winning at Greyville last November. (Gold Circle).