Bob Baffert saddles three of the top four in the betting as he looks for a fourth Breeders’ Cup Classic (off 00:13 am Sunday SA time) in seven years, including Authentic, the Kentucky Derby winner, and the fast-improving Improbable.
The latter, from stall eight, looks the pick of his trio but Tiz The Law has been given a break since finishing a length and a quarter behind Authentic at Churchill and can turn the tables here. A repeat of his win in the Travers in August would make 83-year-old Barclay Tagg’s runner a very tough nut to crack.
Keeneland 7.02pm Gamine was stretched by nine furlongs in the Kentucky Oaks but drops back to seven here, the trip at which she blitzed a Group One field at Saratoga in September.
Keeneland 7.39 Glass Slippers, the 2019 Abbaye winner, should go well if handling the track but has a bit to find with the local specialists. Oleksandra will get a strong pace and could outrun odds of around 10-1.
Keeneland 8.18 Knicks Go improved sharply last time and could be worth chancing at around 4-1 to touch off probable favourite Complexity.
Keeneland 8.57 Several strong hopes from European stables in the Filly & Mare Turf, including Terebellum, Audarya and Cayenne Pepper, but Rushing Fall is a top-class turf performer and should head into retirement with a second Breeders’ Cup success to add to 2017’s Juvenile Fillies’ Turf.
Keeneland 9.36 The unbeaten Yaupon is the rising star of dirt-track sprinting with four wins to date, but the more experienced C Z Rocket has been revitalised since joining Peter Miller and must go close from stall two.
Keeneland 10.15 Kameko and Uni, last year’s winner, head the market but this is wide open and John Quinn’s Safe Voyage is just the type to thrive at a sharp mile. He drew well in stall six and 12-1 is a big each-way price.
Keeneland 10.54 An outstanding duel in prospect between 12-from-14 Monomoy Girl and Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver. Marginal preference is for the three-year-old, only the sixth filly to win the Pimlico Classic, but it could be nip-and-tuck all the way up the stretch.
Keeneland 11.33 Ryan Moore has opted for top-rated Magical over Mogul, but apparent Ballydoyle second-strings have won the Turf before and Mogul could be another. He beat In Swoop, the Arc runner-up, with ease in September, will bounce off the ground and has the right blend of speed and stamina for this test. Magical and Dermot Weld’s Tarnawa look the biggest threats. – theguardian.com
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